Many people like to bet on accumulators i.e. linking more then one bet together to obtain better odds. Sure when you hit your going to make a lot more money. But I am a big fan of statistics, and betting on asian handicaps a team not only has to win but they also have to cover the spread. I believe that even if you break everything down and your certain of something your still going to need a lot of luck. So I reckon the chance of a certain win is actually only about 75% of winning.
Now put that into an accumulator and you will see below how lucky you need to be to get a win:
1 match = 75%
2 match = 56%
3 match = 42%
4 match = 32%
You get the drift basically the more matches you accumulate the less chance you have of winning. Bearing in mind 75% win record is really high and that’s only for one bet.
Sometimes its worth putting in a small stake on accumulators every so often to test your skills and add to the excitement but anything over 5 unit is not recommended and if you do it regularly then you are sure to be a bookies best friend.
Friday, 22 August 2008
How it works?
For each game I aim to break down all the statistics and according to how confident I feel about the game I will stake a unit of between 1 to 10.
Of course how much you wish to gamble or put on the game is entirely up to you. But this is a format I recommend to everybody and if you can stick with it then I am sure you will make money in the long run.
So this is how it works at the start of each month depending on how I get on I will determine how much each of my unit is going to represent.
Once I have determined say £4 each unit then I will stick with it until I build up a big enough bankroll to increase my unit stake up. It’s always tempting to put extra money on a game that you feel totally confident of winning. But in gambling there is no such things as a sure win.
So once you set a stake, stick with it because in the long run, you will find that your sure wins will miss every now and then and the money it cost you will take a lot more wins to make up.
This is an example:
Say for instance my unit stake is £4 and my win record is 75%. I double my stake per unit for a sure bet and stake 10 units on it and lost. So now I am £80 down. Now in 10 matches if I stake an average of 7 units. I will have made 28 units. £112 because of that one lost I am now down to £34 and all it takes its another slip up and my winning record would still mean I have lost money.
Of course how much you wish to gamble or put on the game is entirely up to you. But this is a format I recommend to everybody and if you can stick with it then I am sure you will make money in the long run.
So this is how it works at the start of each month depending on how I get on I will determine how much each of my unit is going to represent.
Once I have determined say £4 each unit then I will stick with it until I build up a big enough bankroll to increase my unit stake up. It’s always tempting to put extra money on a game that you feel totally confident of winning. But in gambling there is no such things as a sure win.
So once you set a stake, stick with it because in the long run, you will find that your sure wins will miss every now and then and the money it cost you will take a lot more wins to make up.
This is an example:
Say for instance my unit stake is £4 and my win record is 75%. I double my stake per unit for a sure bet and stake 10 units on it and lost. So now I am £80 down. Now in 10 matches if I stake an average of 7 units. I will have made 28 units. £112 because of that one lost I am now down to £34 and all it takes its another slip up and my winning record would still mean I have lost money.
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Introduction
Hey everyone my name is Jack, I am a regular 24 yr old guy from England and in this blog I aim to give my personal insights to being a successful sports bet gambler. My speciality and success comes from football betting mainly the domestic British leagues and the champions league. NBA and Boxing is also where I have had huge success in the past.
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